High-Stakes Wagers for 2025: A Dogecoin ETF, Fed Rate Cuts, Super Bowl Glory, and More on the Line

High-Stakes Wagers for 2025: A Dogecoin ETF, Fed Rate Cuts, Super Bowl Glory, and More on the Line

Betting on the Future

As 2024 concludes, anticipation for 2025 is electrifying prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. From economic trends to cultural phenomena, bettors are eagerly speculating on the events that will shape the coming year.

2025’s Betting Bonanza

With Donald Trump possibly leading the U.S., and a mix of political and non-political scenarios unfolding, prediction markets are buzzing. Bettors are speculating on:

• Inflation Rates: Kalshi bettors predict:

  • 30% chance inflation will be 2.6%-3%.

  • 18% chance it will range from 2.1%-2.5%.

  • 15% chance for a 3.1%-3.5% range.

• Spotify’s Top Artist: 73% bet on Taylor Swift, while 23% favor The Weeknd.

• Federal Reserve Rate Cuts: Predictions include:

  • 32% chance of two rate cuts.

  • 23% chance of three cuts.

  • 20% chance of just one.

• Super Bowl Champion: Polymarket gives:

  • 20% chance to Kansas City Chiefs.

  • 16% chance to Detroit Lions.

Cryptocurrency and Bitcoin Predictions

Kalshi and Polymarket also host crypto-focused markets:

• Bitcoin Laws: Kalshi shows a 24% chance Texas will pass a strategic bitcoin reserve law by 2026.

• ETH All-Time High: Polymarket bettors see zero chance of ethereum reaching an all-time high in 2024.

• Dogecoin ETF: Polymarket suggests a 20% chance of a DOGE exchange-traded fund approval by July 31, 2025.

• Microstrategy’s BTC Holdings:

  • 1% chance of exceeding 500,000 BTC in 2024.

  • 35% chance of achieving this milestone before Donald Trump’s next potential inauguration.

Social Media and Cultural Bets

• TikTok Ban: Polymarket bettors assign a 31% chance the U.S. will ban TikTok in 2025.

• House Speaker Mike Johnson: Kalshi predicts a 71% chance he will retain his position if Trump returns to the presidency.

Platforms and Transactions

Both Kalshi and Polymarket rely on Circle’s USD Coin (USDC) for seamless transactions. These platforms reflect a growing curiosity about economic, political, and cultural shifts, offering a dynamic glimpse into the potential surprises of 2025.